We’re approaching the Economic Singularity — the rocket ship is taking off.
It couldn’t be more serious — which is why the Exponentialist is upping its game with new additions to help you thrive in this new world (including the two “shadow” additions you see on the right).
The rocket ship has a life raft. Jumping in?
Raoul here… My job as a macro analyst and entrepreneur is to live in the future and assess how the world might look, and a probabilistic path to get there.
Here’s the much-shortened version of my current thinking… Buckle up…
In the next 6 years, we will see Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) models accelerating in power and collapsing in costs. We will hit a golden age of technology productivity, where infinite knowledge workers (AIs…!) enter the economy.
What does an economy even look like in that world? What is GDP?
What if someone trains AGI on global markets? They theoretically will capture ALL the value.
What if everyone begins using AGI models to build businesses? The velocity of business formation — and destruction — will be unprecedented. So long VC investing, farewell PE investing.
How do “normal” businesses survive in this world? They can’t.
It is all totally f*cked.
And nobody is ready for it.
This isn’t sci-fi. We are living through the death of an old world and birth of a new one.
This has seriously made me think about the future of wealth creation and investing. It’s why I think we have until 2030 to make as much money as possible.
That is the entire game now, and that is the journey we at the Exponentialist are taking together.
It’s also why today we’re announcing some important additions to the service.
More on that in a bit, but first — a quick retro and score card on the first 6 months of the Exponentialist and how we’re doing.
The exponentialist, co-founded by Raoul Pal and David Mattin, is the only service in the world that looks at the Exponential Age, not just from an investor’s perspective, but from the perspective of how it’s going to permanently change the world on every level, including your day-to-day life.
Because while we’re all investors and need guidance on how to invest in this new world (and you’ll find that in the exponentialist), this is so much bigger than that.
How do we choose what to cover?
Well, if it is going to change the world, and your life, we cover it. That’s our guiding star criteria.
Here’s what you get with this singular membership:
I’m biased of course, but nothing else exists like the Exponentialist, where deep thinking meets an actionable portfolio along with actionable advice about how to live in this fast-changing world.
Every month, Exponentialist members get:
And the Exponentialist proof is in that portfolio.
The Exponentialist portfolio has outperformed the Nasdaq by 3x since launch (even with the volatility of the last couple of weeks).
And as of May 1, it has a pretty damn impressive 70% win rate when we drill down into the individual holdings.
Honestly, I feel like we could drop the mic on those numbers alone.
But the proof also is in the words of members, so we gave them the mic, too…
Best source for learning and thinking about tech advances, how it affects both life (plans) and investing opportunities — enjoy the information, knowledge, curiosity and enthusiasm.
— Kevin C.
It’s a great membership. I thought it would be over my head and am enjoying the challenge it has brought in bringing my thinking to a higher level.
— Janice B.
— Ilias G.
I’m really proud of the first 6 months of the Exponentialist, and I know David is, too.
But that’s enough of a victory lap.
Time to reveal what we’re layering in to supercharge the Exponentialist as we hurtle towards Economic Singularity.
And for that, I’ll hand you over to David…
Honestly, I feel like we could drop the mic on those performance results alone, but the proof also is in the words of members, so we gave them the mic, too…
Best source for learning and thinking about tech advances, how it affects both life (plans) and investing opportunities — enjoy the information, knowledge, curiosity, and enthusiasm.
— Kevin C.
It’s a great membership. I thought it would be over my head and am enjoying the challenge it has brought in bringing my thinking to a higher level.
— Janice B.
I have been trying to explain the level of change that is likely to occur over the next decade to people… The Exponentialist helps contextualise it, stay on top of it, and explain it.
— Alec K.
— Ilias G.
— Tom N.
— Ron A.
I’m really proud of the first 6 months of the Exponentialist, and I know David is, too.
But that’s enough of a victory lap.
Time to reveal what we’re layering in to supercharge the Exponentialist as we hurtle towards Economic Singularity.
And for that, I’ll hand you over to David…
David here… The Exponentialist portfolio is based on a core strategy: buy, hold, enjoy.
Follow the portfolio and you’ll be exposed to the stocks and crypto we believe are best situated to benefit from the Exponential Age across the next decade. It’s a powerful way to participate in the story that lies ahead.
And as Raoul just showed — so far, so very bloody good.
But some of you want to do more.
To be more active when it comes to your technology investing journey. And we want to empower you to do just that — in the best way possible.
That’s why we’re bringing Options Insight founder Imran Lakha into the fold at the Exponentialist.
Imran will take Exponentialist members on a journey through options trading and technology stocks.
Subscribers will get actionable regular options trade recommendations around the names in the Exponentialist portfolio.
And we’ll get a deep education in the art and science of options trading.
It’s the perfect approach to complement our existing Exponentialist Portfolio, allowing technology investors to deploy a powerful long-term strategy and take advantage of short-term stock price movements.
Look at this Amazon trade that Imran emailed me back on April 11.
Here’s Imran:
“The goal of the trade was to hedge out around 50% of the AMZN exposure using a zero-cost strategy, ahead of earnings and with macro headwinds.
“Now the stock has traded down to 181, the trade is already in profit by $2,800 (based on a $1m Exponentialist portfolio), which equates to around 0.25% of the current portfolio AUM.”
And the introduction of options trading is just one way we’re enriching the Exponentialist…
Our quest at the Exponentialist? To ensure we’re all equipped to navigate this period of extraordinary change.
Yes, as investors. But also as professionals, citizens, and most of all humans.
You see, AI is the most consequential technology megatrend inside the Exponential Age. It might just be the most consequential technology ever.
AI tools such as ChatGPT have huge potential to enhance us as thinkers, creators, investors, and more. But there will be a clear and growing divide between those able to put AI to work, and those who can’t.
So I am bringing a new feature to the Exponentialist, to ensure you’re empowered to leverage this emerging technology.
The aim of Thought Machines is to arm you with powerful new ways to accelerate and clarify your thinking: an AI-fueled method to supercharge you.
Expect tips, techniques, and prompts that you can personalize and start using now. Get into the habit of using them, and they’ll start to feel like a jetpack for the mind.
We’ll also review and assess new tools as they’re launched. And there will be interviews with other professionals and investors putting AI to work to supercharge their thinking and productivity.
Plus, in the same jumbo monthly edition, I’m also adding:
• It’s Happening, where we’ll analyze the month’s key technology stories, launches, and announcements as they happen. Our aim? To understand how the latest events fit into the broader Exponential Age frameworks and models we’re building.
• And Chart Corner, where we’ll look at the charts and data that must be on your radar this month. That means even more context when it comes to understanding the Exponential Age.
More analysis, more data, and deeper understanding.
If we’re to profit from — and flourish inside — the future taking shape around us, then that’s what we all need.
And that’s the journey we’re taking together at the Exponentialist.
Raoul Pal is the co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, and founder and co-creator of the Exponentialist.
He has also been publishing Global Macro Investor since 2005 to provide original, high-quality, and quantifiable research for the global macro investment community, hedge funds, and family offices.
In 2021, Raoul co-founded Exponential Age Asset Management, an asset management firm that offers a fund of funds in the digital asset space and other investment products.
David Mattin is the co-creator of the Exponentialist, and an internationally recognized expert on emerging technologies, innovation, and social change. He is the author of New World Same Humans, a weekly newsletter sent to over 30,000 readers across tech, business, academia, and government.
David works with leaders inside many of the world’s most prominent organizations — think Meta, Mastercard, Alphabet, Disney, Unilever, Accenture, and more — to help them understand and respond to exponential change.
Imran Lakha is the founder of Options Insight. For 20+ years Imran traded options for major institutions like Citi and Bank of America where he ran their European Options trading desks.
Using this real-world expertise, Imran demonstrates how investors can better position themselves to leverage their capital for maximum returns while protecting their portfolios.
Many Visionaries also know Imran thanks to his brilliant Options Trading course in the Real Vision Academy, and his regular RV appearances.
Julien Bittel is the head of macro research at GMI, and contributor to the Exponentialist.
He previously worked at Pictet Asset Management where he co-managed several of Pictet’s Multi Asset Funds, overseeing a total AUM of CHF 5Bn, and won a number of Morningstar Awards, including Multi-Asset Fund of the Year in 2019/2020.
Prior to assuming a fund management role, Julien worked as a Multi-Asset Investment Strategist in London with a focus on global macro investing.
Raoul Pal is the co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, and founder and co-creator of the Exponentialist.
He has also been publishing Global Macro Investor since 2005 to provide original, high-quality, and quantifiable research for the global macro investment community, hedge funds, and family offices.
In 2021, Raoul co-founded Exponential Age Asset Management, an asset management firm that offers a fund of funds in the digital asset space and other investment products.
David Mattin is the co-creator of the Exponentialist, and an internationally recognized expert on emerging technologies, innovation, and social change. He is the author of New World Same Humans, a weekly newsletter sent to over 30,000 readers across tech, business, academia, and government.
David works with leaders inside many of the world’s most prominent organizations — think Meta, Mastercard, Alphabet, Disney, Unilever, Accenture, and more — to help them understand and respond to exponential change.
Imran Lakha is the founder of Options Insight. For 20+ years Imran traded options for major institutions like Citi and Bank of America where he ran their European Options trading desks.
Using this real-world expertise, Imran demonstrates how investors can better position themselves to leverage their capital for maximum returns while protecting their portfolios.
Many Visionaries also know Imran thanks to his brilliant Options Trading course in the Real Vision Academy, and his regular RV appearances.
Julien Bittel is the head of macro research at GMI, and contributor to the Exponentialist.
He previously worked at Pictet Asset Management where he co-managed several of Pictet’s Multi Asset Funds, overseeing a total AUM of CHF 5Bn, and won a number of Morningstar Awards, including Multi-Asset Fund of the Year in 2019/2020.
Prior to assuming a fund management role, Julien worked as a Multi-Asset Investment Strategist in London with a focus on global macro investing.
Raoul Pal is the co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, and founder and co-creator of the Exponentialist.
He has also been publishing Global Macro Investor since 2005 to provide original, high-quality, and quantifiable research for the global macro investment community, hedge funds, and family offices.
In 2021, Raoul co-founded Exponential Age Asset Management, an asset management firm that offers a fund of funds in the digital asset space and other investment products.
David Mattin is the co-creator of the Exponentialist, and an internationally recognized expert on emerging technologies, innovation, and social change. He is the author of New World Same Humans, a weekly newsletter sent to over 30,000 readers across tech, business, academia, and government.
David works with leaders inside many of the world’s most prominent organizations — think Meta, Mastercard, Alphabet, Disney, Unilever, Accenture, and more — to help them understand and respond to exponential change.
Imran Lakha is the founder of Options Insight. For 20+ years Imran traded options for major institutions like Citi and Bank of America where he ran their European Options trading desks.
Using this real-world expertise, Imran demonstrates how investors can better position themselves to leverage their capital for maximum returns while protecting their portfolios.
Many Visionaries also know Imran thanks to his brilliant Options Trading course in the Real Vision Academy, and his regular RV appearances.
Julien Bittel is the head of macro research at GMI, and contributor to the Exponentialist.
He previously worked at Pictet Asset Management where he co-managed several of Pictet’s Multi Asset Funds, overseeing a total AUM of CHF 5Bn, and won a number of Morningstar Awards, including Multi-Asset Fund of the Year in 2019/2020.
Prior to assuming a fund management role, Julien worked as a Multi-Asset Investment Strategist in London with a focus on global macro investing.
Preparing for the Economic Singularity is more urgent than 99% of people realize, but it’s still far enough away that it’s hard to see the road there.
So let’s break this down…
For the first time ever, we are offering a 6-day trial of the Exponentialist for $1.
This is because adapting to the changes coming is even more urgent than we knew 6 months ago when we launched this service (that’s the thing with exponential change…!)
And I know we’ve discussed a lot here today, so here’s a TL;DR of what you get with the Exponentialist:
Plus…
BONUS:
BONUS:
Get 6 days for $1, and then the option (but not the obligation) to join for 6 months for $799.
The Exponentialist is not a Real Vision service and so it isn’t part of any of our membership tiers. It is an external service that is offered via RV Marketplace, where you can truly build your own financial world with the services and add-ons you need. Real Vision members will always get preferred pricing on services in the RV Marketplace.
We wouldn’t recommend jumping in feet first with no prior experience — which is why we are giving all Exponentialist subscribers access to Imran’s Trading Options course in the RV Academy. Plus, Imran will be sharing the rationale and step-by-step guide to all of his options trades for the Exponentialist, so you can learn as you go.
Absolutely. Please drop us a line at rvipclub@realvision.com.
While the Exponentialist is not a Real Vision service, we are able to deliver it through the Real Vision platform. So if you’re already a Real Vision member, you don’t have to add another website to your list to visit. You can access your Real Vision membership and your Exponentialist subscription all in one place.
Drop us a line at milton@realvision.com and he’ll be able to help you out.