Gary Shilling: What Is the Consensus View Getting Wrong?
The Interview: Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison to evaluate the health of the economy and how it impacts the future path of assets such as bonds, real estate, and stocks. Shilling notes that the consensus view—that the economy is going to re-open very rapidly, that inflation is going to come roaring back, and that interest rates will go through the roof—contradicts the lessons he has learned across his storied career in financial markets. Shilling argues that the four-decade-long trend of declining interest rates on U.S. Treasurys will continue, and he shares with Harrison several investment ideas in commodities and bonds that allow investors to be cautious without being actively bearish. Shilling and Harrison also discuss trends such as working-from-home, the residential real estate boom, and the savings glut in Asian countries.
Recorded on April 21, 2021.
Ash Bennington
@AshBennington
Maggie Lake
@maggielake
Raoul Pal
@RaoulGMI
We'll be tweeting new episodes, polls, questions, and show updates. Follow us and say hi!
@RealvisionOur core membership, Real Vision ESSENTIAL, unlocks our most popular shows, introducing the key market themes we focus on and featuring hard-to-access guests like Kyle Bass, Jim Chanos, Jim Grant, Stan Druckenmiller and many more.
Become a member now and get analysis you won’t find anywhere else.