Comments
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Freasonable perspective,would add part of the adjustment process he talks about comes from the old adage "your first sale is your best sale"
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PUI trade and he is correct.
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VRBayesian thinking: great concept
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DSGood presentation, but I would substitute "what if scenario" for hypothesis. Investigation tries to prove or disprove the hypothesis. In either case it is the flexibility at the starting point that is important with Bayesian probability and focused feedback that complete the narrative. Focused feedback is the most important step for me. This helps to separate the noise from the signal of the market - if it can be separated. DLS