An Investment Framework for Late-Cycle Markets

Published on
December 10th, 2019
14 minutes

An Investment Framework for Late-Cycle Markets

Technical Trader ·
Featuring Louis Llanes

Published on: December 10th, 2019 • Duration: 14 minutes

Louis Llanes, CFA, CMT, founder of Wealthnet Investments, believes late-cycle markets are being driven by growth-starved millennials and boomers. With low rates forcing most investors out of fixed income, investors are increasingly turning to equity markets regardless of the risk of potential downturn. Llanes lays out his framework for trading equities in this high-risk environment. Filmed on December 5, 2019 in Denver.



  • CS
    Charles S.
    16 May 2020 @ 18:26
    2020-05-16: the selected late-cycle investment lost more than half its value in rout that started in early Jan, before Covid was on the radar. Llanes per his framework defined the GMED trade to be highly provisional, the loss on his rec was 7-9%, not >50%. So a mixed bag -- the idea was a complete fail, all the more glaring in that was a healthcare stock, but smart, timely trade construction made it an acceptable loss, much better than buy and hold, which would have seen a plummet from ~61 to <34 Stock picking aint easy.
  • AN
    An N.
    12 December 2019 @ 04:00
    what about this one
  • TT
    Tungsheng T.
    11 December 2019 @ 04:32
    Good share. We need more this type of technical sharing on RV. From technical standpoint, it is currently reaching the previous highs (three failure to break the new high in the past). i would either buy in at pull back on hourly chart or break out on the previous high. my price target is around 75 based on my tech analysis. Let s see
  • RM
    Robert M.
    10 December 2019 @ 17:08
    Investment ideas...that is what makes RV valuable. While I believe Global Medical looks overpriced today, totally agree with the investment thesis and is how I am putting my money to work right now. Excellent video.
    • LL
      Louis L. | Contributor
      10 December 2019 @ 17:39
      Thank you. I think valuation is tougher with this type of growth company because operating leverage can quickly improve profit forecasts and or fast losses if sales fall.