Comments
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KSTo consider any biotech company. 1. Management Team 2. Investors 3. IP Kite Pharma was the no brainer. Everyone else went for the song and dance.
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MMRobert killed it with his picks in this video, probably the most lucrative advice and tickers mentioned in the last 6-8 months on RV. A follow up considering all these companies made huge advances would be great
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DHAmazing content and is performing very well. RV comes through again 👍
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TSEnjoyed this interview thoroughly. Setting aside the discussions about the technologies it was fun to see how he entered into his observations and how his knowledge and understanding were self-generated. He seemed candid about his positions and risk and I could see myself caught in some of the same dilemma regarding risk vs reward. A fun watch for me and I enjoy thinking for myself wrt outcomes and assessments - no echo chamber here.
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LKRV you have to get people who spent more than a year and a half worth of experience. Difficult for me to take this seriously 7-8 yrs experience should be minimum for a RV video. RV is know for crème de la crème guests..... don't change it.
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RHInteresting to see people finally discussing dendritic cells and NWBO (check out the pages at Kat’s Cure on Facebook. This lady in the UK managed to get DCVax after being diagnosed with GBM and she is in no doubt it cured her disease). Personalised medicine is a clear trend, I think that he focused too much on the search for an off-the-shelf product. Also, unfortunately up till now, contrary to what Robert said there is very limited evidence that CarT will work on solid tumours and much evidence that it does not. They simply cannot control the side effects and I agree with Steve D, he’s wrong about the cost. It’s way too expensive. The Gliead call after the purchase of Kite was quite telling. At the Q&A the first 4 or 5 questions from different sell-side analysts were along the lines of ‘do you see this purchase as a move into solid tumours?’ and of course the CEO and COO both said emphatically yes. But when the chief scientific guy answered he said yes, but any progress in solid tumours will be in the ‘very distant future’.
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PSOxford Biomedica Plc is an interesting name (shameless pump) dealing successfully so far with Novartis But I noted recently Crispin Odey has it as a large holding - so that could be the kiss of death! In all seriousness - this is such an important and interesting space I would love to keep hearing more on the topic
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KONever ceases to amaze me how ageist some of the subscribers here are. Granted I don't agree with his views, I think immuno and gene therapies are not only ridiculously overhyped but also completely misunderstood. That said, his way of playing the biotech community's inevitable push towards these inefficient and limited therapies is quite clever.
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ROAny comment on the ETF CNCR, which has many of the names mentioned, but does not include CYRX? I purchased this ETF several months ago when another Real Vision contributor described their investment in immunotherapy space. I have a small speculative position so the potential loss is small but if one of the companies in the ETF show a bitcoin type of rise some of the other companies may follow. I thought this was a safer way of betting on this sector than trying to guess which company will be the big winner.
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DGNWBO - If he can talk his book so can I. I thought it was great.
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SDThis is a fascinating space and Robert hasd clealrly thought a lot about the topic despite clealrly not being a scientific expert. However he is just plain wrong on the affordability of CAR-T. Yes, Kymirah is US$475k, but it's a single 'one and done treatment'. After this the child is 'immune' from Acute Lymphobastic Leukemia (ALL) as far as we know from Emily Whitehead, patient #1 5 years on. If treatment is ineffective Novartis return the fee, unlike Escarta. As Kymirah is currently for Refractory or Relapsed (RR) Paediatric ALL it is targeting at children who have no other treatment options and are therefore highly likely to die soon. As far as we know after CAR-T they are able to lead a normal life. Based on a Quality-adjusted life years basis Kymirah is much cheaper and more effective that drugs which address chronic conditions but require constant drug treatments.
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THThank you for bringing this up! CAR-T has indeed shown fantastic breakthroughs in the treatment of hematological malignancies and also some promising results in solid tumors. I still have to bring up just couple issues that we have to deal with, when thinking about the science behind all of this AND investing in these companies. First, I would have to say that the ultimate success of CAR-T in solid tumor patients will require lots of improvements in the following areas in clinical work: 1, Local delivery of CAR-T cells. 2, Combination of CAR-T cells with chemotherapeutic drugs to treat metastatic tumors. 3, Combination of CAR-T with immune checkpoint inhibitors. 4, Combination therapy using CAR-T cells targeting two different antigens. 5, The use of CAR-T as a strategy to prevent tumor recurrence and metastasis after radical resection. I've studied the basic immunology and science behind cancer immunotherapies in med school and then done some more profound research on the subject myself. All I can say is that this is one of the hardest subjects to understand and the whole immune system is very complex and still not very well understood. Especially cancer immunology. When thinking about development projects, we also have to always keep in mind that even though something looks promising in pre-clinical studies, it can turn out to be a disaster in clinical studies, because living human body is much more complex system than a bunch of cells in a petri dish. So this is the starting point. Then we know that biotech companies and especially many development projects around cancer therapies can easily become "over hyped", so investors in this space need to be very well informed and educated in every possible way so that we can even talk about having some kind of edge in the space. I've been investing in this space for years and because of my background I consider myself to be quite well informed and educated, but still I get sometimes very anxious understanding how to play this game. From what I usually see, I just can't help being skewed towards seeing more short opportunities than more long opportunities. I mean, of course you can find good companies to go long (and I have too), but because of the dynamics around these companies I would argue that the probabilities are greater for the informed one who looks for the short opportunities. It is a very hard space to be invested in and definitely the most unlikely place for an investor to find an edge. But I hope the science turns out like Robert says and I personally think also that we will see enormous advantages in this space of cancer therapies over the next years. Just be aware of what kind of game this from investors standpoint.
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PUNot RV's best, that is for sure
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MLI like these industry specific pieces. Would have been even better if it was longer
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DCMost will lose money in this sector. From experience, you have to follow a company for years, not just only 12 months, to get a handle on the management execution, AND most importantly, being able to enter at a very low price after all the initial hype. You may have gamble on 10 names hoping one will payoff.....
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RAI love Real Vision but have to say I hate, I am using the word hate here, the "serious/poignant" music that is used throughout this and many other videos.
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CEI listen to these so I can’t hear the “typed questions”. Can you please update this style of presentation for those particularly focused on just audio. Thanks.
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JcI am not real encouraged by the fact that his holding period is one year. Do I want to be the bag holder?
Chapters
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What’s the Biggest Opportunity in Biotech Now?
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How Did You First Get Interested in This Space?
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What Are The Latest Advancements?
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Can This Eventually Cure Every Ailment?
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Where Will This Technology Be in 10 to 15 Years?
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How Expensive are These Treatments?
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What’s The Opportunity for Investors?
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What’s the Bull Case?
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What Are The Risks?
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How Does Cryoport Fit Into Your Broader Portfolio?
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Are There Other Appealing Stocks in the Space?
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Wrapping It Up