Trading Markets Around Event Risk

Published on
April 7th, 2017
Topic
Trading, Sentiment, Global Outlook
Duration
47 minutes
Asset class
Currencies, Bonds/Rates/Credit, Commodities

Trading Markets Around Event Risk

The Interview ·
Featuring Chris Weston

Published on: April 7th, 2017 • Duration: 47 minutes • Asset Class: Currencies, Bonds/Rates/Credit, Commodities • Topic: Trading, Sentiment, Global Outlook

Chris Weston is Head of Research at IG in Melbourne and he has a 360-degree perspective on short term trading psychology and changes in volatility, as investors process and react to extreme market events. From a global macro standpoint, Chris provides some highly informed analysis into the risk scenarios to come, with a glimpse at how the market is positioned going into the French Presidential elections. Filmed on March 21, 2017 in Sydney.

Comments

  • TM
    The-First-James M.
    11 April 2017 @ 19:53
    I do wonder what affect First Home Buyers electing to use their Super for a house deposit would have on both the ASX and Australian Treasury Market given that Baby Boomers will also start selling these same assets in the very near future. Personally, I think Australia's next bust will be one for the Ages.
  • NH
    Neil H.
    9 April 2017 @ 19:45
    Great interview but did not come away with any info that would sway me one way or another. Everyone has opposite views of the dollar direction but we're not that vocal a few years back before the dollar rose 30 percent. Getting the dollar call correctly will affect all asset classes. I am still waiting to be convinced which is the correct direction for the dollar to take
  • GG
    Gerald G.
    8 April 2017 @ 22:26
    The biggest problem with interviews like this is that if you speak with conviction everyone nods their head in agreement and acts like you are some kind of genius. This guy acts as though it is a brilliant insight to assert that we need to take into account the possibility that one or more of Trump's initiatives might actually work. Could there be a more idiotic assertion? Not only has the market priced in the possibility that one or more of Trump's initiatives might work, it has priced in the PROBABILITY that all his initiatives WILL work. Then just to add idiocy to self delusional stupidity the market completely ignores every data point to the contrary. We don't need someone acting like a genius for anticipating that Trump might be successful, we need someone who is ready to anticipate what happens when this whole narrative is recognized for the fantasy that it is. Furthermore, the fact that things are looking "pretty good" because sentiment has turned positive isn't a good thing. It is just one more indication that people will believe any crock of **** story rather than face the truth... which is that we don't get to walk away from the excesses of the last decade without paying the price.
    • BM
      Bryan M.
      11 April 2017 @ 05:49
      Well said.
  • SC
    Shane C.
    8 April 2017 @ 20:00
    Great Interview Grant! I honestly think we need to completely change the investment paradaigm we operate in. Listen to everyone (myself included) everyone is in fear or in love with the fed, housing markets are king, barely trying to capture vol. I mean this isn't even real investing anymore. There is a much more fine tuned information feedback loop now and what we are seeing is an upswing in confidence and just some hope moving forward. It seems to me its manifesting as a desire to break free from FED or government control. Almost as if investors are saying they refuse to be controlled by the government in terms of how their investments are allocated, how much they can earn, their risk, etc. I cant explain it but go to the San Fran Fed page and look at their latest research papers and they are dumbfounded at the markets response. They have some incredible white papers on things like the FX questions, yield curve term structure, inflation (what it is and how it works today) corp/gov credit markets and the transmission via monetary policy to consumers (believe it or not they didnt think this ever happened)
  • cb
    christian b.
    8 April 2017 @ 15:38
    like the break down of an event into three stages... good way to see it
  • DR
    Debra R.
    8 April 2017 @ 04:24
    Great interview Grant & Chris, enjoyed every minute.
  • p5
    peel 5.
    8 April 2017 @ 03:52
    Great interview
  • LJ
    Lucille J.
    7 April 2017 @ 20:23
    Where is the global growth ?
  • PS
    PD S.
    7 April 2017 @ 18:49
    great interview grant :)
  • rr
    rlw r.
    7 April 2017 @ 16:10
    Grant keeps finding these smart young guys with really decent argues vs the well worn(s). Awesome value adds. Roc - on.

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