Profits, Politics and Conflicts – The next 10 years, Part II

Featuring Siddharth Sarin

In part 2 of his presentation on long-term cycles, Siddharth Sarin, Founder & Director of Perennitas Solutions Inc., Siddharth gives us a historical context of income distribution and the polarization of political ideologies, providing a rich context for the global progress achieved by humanity, and offers probabilistic frameworks for the outcomes of geopolitical unrest.

Published on
12 April, 2016
Topic
Global Outlook, US Economy, Politics
Duration
21 minutes
Rating
57

Comments

  • MS

    Matt S.

    4 3 2017 11:11

    0       0

    Bexit.

    Tremendous blow to the EU - achievement unlocked!

    :p

  • JF

    John F.

    1 11 2016 07:03

    0       0

    Tell me something not already in the general media.

  • SS

    Sid S.

    17 5 2016 03:47

    0       0

    @Stephen, The color scheme related to events is relative. I believe Japanese militarization given current geopolitical equation vis a vis China and NKorea is a relative +ve and "normal" since minimal

  • SL

    Stephen L.

    15 5 2016 14:24

    0       0

    Great presentation! "Increased Japanese Militarisation" was green/positive impact. Personally, I would have thought it would be negative or at most medium. I wouldn't trust Abe with an Navy

  • SB

    Stewart B.

    26 4 2016 06:45

    1       1

    I really enjoyed this. I was surprised by the number of thumbs down. thanks for bringing this to me.

  • GR

    Guido R.

    25 4 2016 14:48

    1       0

    U claim Russia invades? US has been invading on spurious pretexts for the past 20 years. Is arming sundry rebels to overthrow Assad not belligerent on the part of the West? Rebels that are criminals

  • GR

    Guido R.

    25 4 2016 14:46

    1       0

    US & NATO keep overthrowing govs precipitating humanitarian crisis thus justifying UN interventions. IMF and World Bank have merely loaded EMs with debt and now are doing the same to West economy

  • GR

    Guido R.

    25 4 2016 14:44

    1       0

    SID, RUS is merely reacting to aggressive Western posturing angling for unipolar world. NATO & US overthrew Ukraine gov & allowed new admin to ethnic cleanse the country using overtly Nazi militias

  • JW

    Jim W.

    24 4 2016 15:47

    0       0

    It's disingenuous to talk about income inequality in the US without also adjusting for immigration, since the vast majority of US immigrants are poor. Also need to consider govt transfer payments.

  • AP

    Alfonso P.

    24 4 2016 13:25

    0       0

    good, concise, with excellent charts

  • NT

    Norman T.

    23 4 2016 05:29

    0       0

    nothing very new here

  • MA

    Melanie A.

    22 4 2016 16:48

    1       0

    Great presentation - so clear, concise and love all the supporting charts/data. Sid could be my new fav RV presenter. More please!

  • SS

    Sid S.

    19 4 2016 14:57

    2       1

    I take it some disagree Russia is belligerent which surprises me , because short of a larger war Russia has done everything, posturing, invading , annexing, strat. support to Syria -not belligerent??

  • SS

    Sid S.

    19 4 2016 14:51

    1       0

    the impact +ve or otherwise of Intl Inst. Like UN etc my view is +ve because u have to consider what if they weren’t there. power to convene, channel intl. intl. development is quite an achievement

  • GR

    Guido R.

    19 4 2016 06:09

    0       0

    IMF, World Bank and UN have a record of success... indeed... but success for whom exactly and at what cost to wider society?

  • GR

    Guido R.

    19 4 2016 06:02

    1       0

    .... Russia is belligerent...???

  • WM

    William M.

    17 4 2016 17:41

    0       0

    Very good geopolitical/cyclic observations. There is NO question cycles exist but longer term cycles are rarely followed because "its different this time" is the pervasive popular human opinion.

  • FS

    Fred S.

    17 4 2016 14:13

    3       0

    "... things have not degenerated to the same level [as the period between 1929 and 1945]..." At least not yet! I do not share his view that we are better humans now than we were then. Same old us.

  • KE

    Kenan E.

    16 4 2016 12:51

    5       0

    Again very interesting talk although I do not share his view of the positive role of all those international institutions (IMF, World Bank, ...)

  • SS

    Sid S.

    13 4 2016 13:43

    3       0

    Colin you can download the research paper from www.perennitas.com

  • CD

    Colin D.

    13 4 2016 07:17

    0       0

    Once again I enjoyed the approach and talk but many of the slides were way bigger than the screen view. Is it possible to get copies as they looked really interesting?

  • DC

    Dave C.

    12 4 2016 21:48

    13       3

    More on cycle analysis please - suggest Charles Nenner for general cycle theory and Lars Von Thienen for dynamic cycle analysis and related software tools.

  • BE

    Baha E.

    12 4 2016 21:29

    2       0

    "We are living in an era similar to between 1929-1945." That is very worrying, specially for young people like myself.

  • WE

    William E.

    12 4 2016 17:56

    4       0

    Bull, Bear / Expansion, Recession / Winter, Spring, Summer and Fall - Cycles are real...