The Duck Test

Featuring Grant Williams

Grant Williams, author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm… presents viewers with The Duck Test as he takes a snapshot of the global economy and tries to chart a course through a few simple known knowns in an attempt to ascertain where we currently stand.

Published on
24 February, 2016
Topic
Credit Market, US Economy, Financial System
Duration
15 minutes
Asset class
Bonds/Rates/Credit, Currencies, Equities
Rating
6

Comments

  • AD

    Arvydas D.

    9 2 2017 17:36

    2       0

    Would be interesting to see the update

  • JC

    John C.

    26 8 2016 07:14

    1       0

    went back in time to watch this as I'm a relatively new subscriber and enjoyed it immensely. Short, clear and concise overview of all the world's central banking & economic ills.

    Would be good to do a 'rewind' on this right now to see where we are at as we head into a lot of uncertainty in 4Q 2016

  • JV

    JP V.

    8 3 2016 09:13

    1       0

    excellent round-up of the world's troubles

  • JA

    Judy A.

    5 3 2016 22:07

    3       0

    Perfect discussion, quick, backed by facts, logical and clear. One of the best talks in several weeks. Well done!

  • ii

    ida i.

    4 3 2016 19:20

    2       0

    I prefer your face to the graphs Grant!

  • IZ

    Ileana Z.

    3 3 2016 21:19

    1       0

    first graph: is this total financial instruments or total value of financial instruments? if the former, some growth could be explained by tech advances in "size"/value of financial instruments

  • M.

    Milton ..

    2 3 2016 17:02

    0       0

    Terrific!

  • CB

    Cliff B.

    28 2 2016 13:16

    2       0

    Good presentation. I would be nice to be able to download charts to review at later date. Don't know if that is possible. I saw Milton note on where to get slides. Thanks

  • DF

    Dominic F.

    26 2 2016 11:55

    0       0

    One word...
    Greenspan :-(

  • TH

    Timo H.

    26 2 2016 07:14

    1       0

    Dave C: Yellen did not vote this video down because she saw the light. Now THAT's scary.

  • LC

    Liliana C.

    26 2 2016 07:02

    0       0

    Thiks Grant! I think we know what not to own. With the rest, we step from one rock to the next, as it gets wobbly we see where to step next. That's probably the best we can do. RVTV by our side.

  • DC

    Dave C.

    25 2 2016 22:33

    2       0

    542 up votes and 0 down votes. Result my son! Maybe Yellen is too busy to vote?

  • JB

    James B.

    25 2 2016 21:05

    0       1

    Great presentation. Like many I am not sure what if anything can be done to protect the small as well as the big investor. it is time for the CB's to manage the global risk.

  • MB

    Matthias B.

    25 2 2016 16:17

    0       0

    short & concise, phantastic! question to Grant: any chance to get the slides? thanks a lot.

  • dm

    douglas m.

    25 2 2016 06:44

    2       2

    the counter arguement: the Atlanta Fed no longer has GDPNow at 0.7% ... it's currently at 2.6% and making significantly less quacking noises.

  • DD

    Derek D.

    25 2 2016 04:21

    2       0

    Love it. Peter Schiff has used the duck test also. "If it quacks like a recession" was the title of one of his recent podcasts actually. Maybe he reads TTMYGH!

  • AC

    Andrew C.

    25 2 2016 04:03

    1       0

    Tks Dave;great link. Anyone have a link for counter view for this "duck" which is looking pretty obvious now days?

  • ps

    phil s.

    25 2 2016 03:54

    1       0

    Another great video. Grant is clear and concise. Well done.

  • AS

    Andrew S.

    25 2 2016 03:54

    5       0

    Excellent summing up. We are getting closer. Oh and tell Raoul to buy his physical gold and take possession. Seriously.

  • CH

    Calvin H.

    25 2 2016 03:31

    5       3

    Nice work Grant. To the folks asking what to do? jeez,,,,,quit quacking. Study up, go to cash in the meantime, go long gold, listen to Rainmaker and many others. You will not be spoon-fed

  • SH

    Stu H.

    25 2 2016 02:28

    4       0

    Great presentation, as always. I love what RV is doing. As a humble retail investor some insight from your guests as to the best ways we could adjust our portfolios would be really appreciated.

  • TR

    Thomas R.

    25 2 2016 00:07

    7       0

    What to do? I started my RV subscr. last summer & have listened to almost every video produced at least once. I have cash in business accts vs pers accts, I'm in gold & gold miners & have SPX puts.

  • DL

    Derek L.

    25 2 2016 00:04

    2       0

    That is a Big Ugly Duck! I have to believe the CB's are scared to death of the B.U.D. and they will do anything to keep the evil fowl in a cage. How long can they do it ? Great stuff Grant.

  • JB

    Judith B.

    24 2 2016 23:52

    0       0

    Great information......makinking changes based on the insights you have provided..

  • RP

    Ron P.

    24 2 2016 23:05

    3       0

    The Global economy is not in a free fall through air. It's more like quick sand that engulfs you slowly over time until the day comes that you can no longer breathe

  • DC

    Dave C.

    24 2 2016 22:40

    4       0

    The Duck Test presentation is great - latest by @RonStoeferle complements these themes and gives ideas for investor preparation https://t.co/AYZNKxuCzn

  • SB

    Stewart B.

    24 2 2016 21:32

    0       0

    A really nice summary.

  • RT

    ROB T.

    24 2 2016 21:00

    4       0

    any advice to a newbies in times like these?

  • TH

    Timo H.

    24 2 2016 20:22

    8       0

    Oh duck...

  • LA

    Linda A.

    24 2 2016 19:40

    4       0

    Excellent! More pain coming now that oil mkts. are bust: trillion $ loans that may default, millions of high pd. unemployed, oversupply of housing, China debt-, export trade slowing, cntrl bank hubris

  • JO

    John O.

    24 2 2016 19:27

    2       0

    It's a slow motion crash. Thanks for the great charts.

  • TJ

    Terry J.

    24 2 2016 18:52

    3       0

    Brilliant synopsis Grant. Sadly even if the Keynesian PhD fools running our central banks watched your presentation, they would not recognise the duck they have created!

  • BV

    Bryan V.

    24 2 2016 16:39

    2       0

    Regardless of the narrative, I've never thought that this was about a recovery, rather managing an eventual crash. CBs are political animals and this about bringing China and Europe to its knees.

  • KD

    Ken D.

    24 2 2016 16:00

    6       0

    Wonderful presentation. Thank you.

  • GR

    Gregory R.

    24 2 2016 15:58

    3       1

    Perhaps it’s a sparrow with a glandular condition?

  • CC

    Christopher C.

    24 2 2016 15:51

    2       0

    If the economy is like a man dying of thirst, and liquidity is like water in a sponge that is wrung (QE, etc) out to give the dying man a few drops of water, what do you do when the sponge is dry,

  • CC

    Christopher C.

    24 2 2016 15:51

    4       1

    most of the water that has been wrung out has been captured in bottles by a few (bankers/the wealthy), or segregated in other bottles that have poison in them?

  • TM

    Taylor M.

    24 2 2016 15:51

    5       0

    Daniel and Leland, Over simplified action plan. 50 Cash 40/Gov Bonds 10/Gold. You could short QQQ too.

  • FS

    Felix S.

    24 2 2016 15:51

    9       0

    Love this type of presentations. Simple and full with lovely charts & facts. Thank you Grant!

  • CC

    Christopher C.

    24 2 2016 15:51

    4       0

    (Bad/illiquid assets held by FED, Black Rock, etc.) And if you can squeeze more out (Helicopter drops, etc.) How do you make people drink vs hoard?

  • sc

    sam c.

    24 2 2016 15:38

    1       0

    I'm happy to see his face, also like graphes. thank you mister.

  • GT

    Graham T.

    24 2 2016 15:35

    1       0

    Get it there, my son

  • JM

    Joseph M.

    24 2 2016 15:35

    3       1

    whoa clean shaven!

  • DW

    Daniel W.

    24 2 2016 15:29

    11       3

    I agree with everyone else....brilliant! But many of us aren't wealthy and don't have in-depth options knowledge/accounts. So how does a small time, amateur investor use this info to make $?

  • EO

    Ernesto O.

    24 2 2016 15:20

    1       0

    Thank you.

  • SS

    Sam S.

    24 2 2016 14:54

    3       0

    Grant --- You're the best. Pal & Williams for President! Ideas for shorting the markets besides owing Gold and Silver?

  • LM

    Leland M.

    24 2 2016 14:48

    43       0

    Another analytically clear and unemotional view of global statistics that scares the s**t out of me. It begs the question of what does the average investor do in response. Grant is so good at this.

  • A1

    Animal 1.

    24 2 2016 14:29

    5       0

    Epic presentation! Thank you.