01:15:24

EssentialMike Green in Conversation

The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility

Featuring Harley Bassman and Michael Green

Mar 08, 2021 • 75 minutes

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Essential

Mike Green in Conversation

The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility

With bonds selling off with equities and volatility rising, there is perhaps no better time to hear from The Convexity Maven himself, Harley Bassman.

Featuring Harley Bassman and Michael Green

Mar 08, 2021 • 75 minutes

With bonds selling off alongside equities and the volatility of both asset classes rising, there is perhaps no better time to hear from The Convexity Maven himself, Harley Bassman. In this interview with Logica Capital Advisors partner, chief strategist, and PM Mike Green, Bassman outlines his view that this move higher in rates is the bond market finally moving towards the "right" price after a decade of interest rate suppression. Green and Bassman discuss the positive and negative consequences of higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and monetary and fiscal policies like negative interest rates and stimulus checks. They also touch on the current opportunities that Bassman sees and his prediction of inflationary impulse due to demographics sometime between 2023 and 2025. Harley Bassman has provided a slide deck to accompany this interview which can be found here: https://rvtv.io/3cai4CR and his commentary on convexity can be found here: https://rvtv.io/38eiXZS. Filmed on March 3, 2021. Key Learnings: Bassman believes interest rates have been kept artificially low, and the current sell-off in bonds is the market moving towards the "right" price. He also advocates for investors to be long convexity and believes that OTM calls on equities and long-dated options on interest rates are extremely cheap. Show More

A Real Vision original, Mike Green engages in exciting conversations about the big macro topics that matter. Exploring personal passions -- including the US-China relationship that defines modern geopolitics as well as market structure and the question of how short-volume strategies and passive indexation have warped the way markets function -- Mike creates immeasurable value for investors. Never stuck on any one or two themes, he also explores breaking issues sure to shape our understanding of ever-changing financial markets.

More Episodes

A Real Vision original, Mike Green engages in exciting conversations about the big macro topics that matter. Exploring personal passions -- including the US-China relationship that defines modern geopolitics as well as market structure and the question of how short-volume strategies and passive indexation have warped the way markets function -- Mike creates immeasurable value for investors. Never stuck on any one or two themes, he also explores breaking issues sure to shape our understanding of ever-changing financial markets.

More Episodes

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