30:43

EssentialDaily Briefing

Is Recession the Only Answer to Inflation?

Featuring Jared Dillian and Maggie Lake

March 28 at 8:00PM • 30 minutes

Essential

Daily Briefing

Is Recession the Only Answer to Inflation?

Another segment of the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted today. Is a recession imminent?

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Featuring Jared Dillian and Maggie Lake

March 28 at 8:00PM • 30 minutes

As Jared Dillian puts it, when the prices of things we need are going higher and the prices of things we want are going lower, “it creates economic misery.” Things we need include fossil fuels and agricultural commodities. Things we want include stocks and bonds. In 2022, with stock and bond prices falling and commodity prices rising, wealth has evaporated, and the cost of living has increased. And the thing is, to seriously take on rising prices, the Federal Reserve is going to have to accelerate its monetary tightening cycle. “In order to stop inflation,” writes Dillian, “the Fed will have to engineer a recession.” We’re starting to see indications from sections of the yield curve that a downturn is imminent – for example, the yield on the five-year U.S. Treasury note exceeded the yield on the 30-year bond earlier today. Stocks, meanwhile, have enjoyed a two-week rally. Is there a way out for the Fed that doesn’t include recession? Dillian, author of The Daily Dirtnap, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the Fed, interest rates, economic misery, and recession. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3IMaiNH

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Real Vision's Daily Briefing provides a macro context for the day's market action, Monday through Friday, live at 4:00 p.m. ET. Our hosts talk with traders, quants, investors, and analysts with skin in the game. These experts include Tony Greer, Katie Stockton, Jim Bianco, Jared Dillian, Thomas Thornton, and our own Raoul Pal. In just 30 minutes, you'll get the world's smartest analysis of global markets and the important macro trends driving them.

More Episodes

Real Vision's Daily Briefing provides a macro context for the day's market action, Monday through Friday, live at 4:00 p.m. ET. Our hosts talk with traders, quants, investors, and analysts with skin in the game. These experts include Tony Greer, Katie Stockton, Jim Bianco, Jared Dillian, Thomas Thornton, and our own Raoul Pal. In just 30 minutes, you'll get the world's smartest analysis of global markets and the important macro trends driving them.

More Episodes

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