Broken Markets and The Cowbell – GMI Oct 2022

Published on: October 21st, 2022

This is a complimentary publication of the latest Global Macro Investor, Raoul’s institutional research report. There’s too much happening in markets right now, and Raoul wants to make sure his complete view is received and understood properly. “I’m going to explain – from a very big-picture point of view – how the world works.”


  • JJ
    Jay J.
    21 October 2022 @ 13:28
    Top notch work
  • WL
    Wolfgang L.
    21 October 2022 @ 13:55
    Thanks, Raoul - very generous to share it here!
    • RP
      Raoul P. | Founder
      21 October 2022 @ 21:03
      No problem. I thougjt it was important
  • CH
    Charles H.
    21 October 2022 @ 15:46
    Being granted your highest tier analytical work, at the very summit of RV, when I consider RV itself to be the Mt. Everest of markets education and strategic guidance, makes me feel as if I were shoulder to shoulder with the "big boys," the hedgies and family offices, Raoul, when I'm only the smallest of small fry. What a benefit! Thank you for the wonderful impact on my trading and for the simple enjoyment of the articulate erudition of so many of your presenters.
    • RP
      Raoul P. | Founder
      21 October 2022 @ 21:02
      Thanks and enjoy!
  • JG
    Johan G.
    21 October 2022 @ 20:10
    Thanks for sharing Raoul! I fully agree that productivity is the key to dig ourselves out of this hole. We should follow closely development of productivity and capital formation trends. The re industrialisation of the west and the transformation of energy from extraction of a resource to the development of technology will transform our economy and give tremendous new opportunities. But that is the new secular trend. First we have to navigate the present cyclical downturn. Next 12 months could be quite unpleasant. Cheers and good luck to all!
  • JJ
    Jay J.
    22 October 2022 @ 19:51
    Hey Raul, first off I agree w/ a lot of what you wrote about, I agree everyone is so incredibly bearish and for some reason I’m not. So going through the charts I’ve noticed when you mentioned the TD signals (and maybe you use the tools differently, everyone kind’ve does) you highlight the trend exhaustion signals but in some cases there’s other components such as on going counts and what really jumps out to me are the qualified and confirmed breakouts of set up trend and risk lvls, the first which typically signifies increased probability of a completed count down, and the latter possible renewed buying/selling interest. I didn’t comment to contradict you at all as so much as I am curious how you (if even) weigh those other signals
  • ac
    adam c.
    22 October 2022 @ 21:39
    I very much enjoyed reading this I found it very enlightening and accessible. Thank you
  • LA
    Lysander A.
    23 October 2022 @ 01:34
    Are we still on for the 30% equity market drop in October?
  • SS
    Shanthi S.
    23 October 2022 @ 06:37
    Thank you Raoul. Really great.
  • JB
    Jay B.
    23 October 2022 @ 13:19
    Excellent report. I agree completely.