In Focus Trade Portfolio – December 1, 2019

Published on: December 2nd, 2019

This publication is your ‘go-to’ to view a summary of trade recommendations proposed by Julian and Raoul in their respective In Focus pieces. Each month, we will update the performance of these trade recommendations, adding and removing trades as per the advice is given in subsequent In Focus publications or any Flash Update.


  • JI
    Janne I.
    2 December 2019 @ 17:04
    Where do you explain the reasons for the eurodollar position and why short all thease currencies?
  • JJ
    JW2 J.
    2 December 2019 @ 19:03
    Imo it would be useful to mention what the initial targets are for these trades. This will also help us asses whether it makes sense to step in somewhat later after the trade has been announced.
    • JW
      Joel W.
      5 December 2019 @ 07:21
      Dude! You have my name, which is profoundly disorienting for me. On the other hand, you’re representing the name well with all the thumbs-ups.
    • JJ
      JW2 J.
      3 December 2019 @ 09:23
      Plus, another request...It would be great if you could add some sort of portfolio allocation recommendation. IMO this would help a lot of people with making investment sizing decisions (for you it’s not feasible to make position sizing recommendations, so lifting this to a portfolio level would address that).
  • df
    diamantino f.
    2 December 2019 @ 20:59
    The trades where put so long ago, do they still stand? What would be the entry points at this moment in time?
    • AH
      Ali H.
      9 December 2019 @ 09:30
      agree.. entry & exit would be helpful.. for example, i still GPB short position on, despite Brexit..what is SL/target?
  • MG
    Miguel G.
    2 December 2019 @ 21:19
    Raoul, any thoughts on when youll be putting the 2 year bond trade back on? What level are you watching on the 2 year to pull the trigger. My guts telling me it stay may be a tad to early, but curious as to the level youre watching.
  • LO
    Leonard O.
    3 December 2019 @ 01:30
    Raoul, in your next report, we look forward to hear you articulate your renewed convictions in the ED, bitcoin and bond trades. Thanks
  • JK
    James K.
    3 December 2019 @ 18:29
    Julian/Raoul .... When are we going to short the sh__ out of this market ? Ie US equities ....
    • JB
      Julian B. | Contributor
      6 December 2019 @ 00:09
      Haha know we'd both love to but right here right now I'm trying to be disciplined. Personally, my current preference in stocks is to be short growth and long value, because I think the ratio corrects lower in both a recession or reflationary environment. I also think that precious metals offer a great way to own a free put on stocks.
  • RH
    Rob H.
    7 December 2019 @ 21:13
    Raul - I'm curious about the DEC 98/98.5 ED spread - This is shown as still being open, so you must be anticipating a big move within the next 9 days since that is when this contract expires.
    • AH
      Ali H.
      9 December 2019 @ 09:30
      same with GBP short position
  • MC
    Mathieu C.
    13 December 2019 @ 04:59
    it starts to look like a terrific portfolio... no risk management whatsoever on gbp, hg, bitcoin losses. Name it! That sounds hard to believe for so called "professional" money manager... Starting to be disappointed here, not just with the perf, but with the overall value added of this expensive service actually. :(
  • MB
    Mike B.
    13 December 2019 @ 13:20
    Just wondering, for a new subscriber who wants to allocate more to the ED trade, it sounds like (Raoul's twitter comments) that now may be a good time to add, any recommendation coming soon for a specific trade? Contract/expiration/call spread?
    • MB
      Mike B.
      19 December 2019 @ 13:10
      Just looking at a tweet from Raoul today saying EDs probably bottoming here, would love to know some specific trade ideas for those not allocated yet to the trade.