In Focus Trade Portfolio – February 1, 2021

Published on: February 1st, 2021

This publication is your ‘go-to’ to view a summary of trade recommendations proposed by Julian and Raoul in their respective In Focus pieces. Each month, we update the performance of these trade recommendations, adding and removing trades as per the advice given in any In Focus publications or Flash Update.

Comments

  • KP
    Kevin P.
    1 February 2021 @ 18:02
    I'm new here and my knowledge is limited, but I have a question about these recommendations. Recommending to buy Bitcoin, for example, with your entry date and price listed scares me off a little when contrasted with the current price. How are we supposed to read these... ie. "Buy at current price because returns were good so far"? follow-up question... if we're looking at a potential market unwinding, Is Bitcoin at this price recommended? because on yesterdays update video, the last slide reads "Raoul likes XXX..., and Bitcoin but potentially later in the year when retail piles in." Messaging is a bit all over the place and I'm not sure what the actual recommendation is here. Please clarify if possible, thanks!
    • SB
      Samuel B.
      1 February 2021 @ 20:53
      This is a trade log. Recommendations are in the videos, flash updates, etc. You have to use best judgement when entering and exiting a trade. For example some of the trades are still on that were sopped out intraday or if stops were set in the trading app.
    • MR
      Milton R. | Founder
      2 February 2021 @ 11:27
      Hey Kevin, the portfolio gathers all the trading data from past flash updates, reports, and Insiders Talks and tracks them each month. For example, the call to purchase BTC came at the end of June in one of Raoul's reports and the price then was $8677. Another example is the recent SPX March Puts that came through the Flash Update on the 28th of January. When you have the time, I do recommend taking all the reports, Flash Updates and Insiders Talks from the past 6-12 months and digesting them because you have direct access to their though process.
    • GD
      Graham D.
      7 February 2021 @ 11:04
      Re Milton's reply: I take the point that the various recommendations should be re-visited if one is considering entering a trade now but the problem is that obviously market conditions have changed since the recommendations were originally issued. For example, Raul's recommendation to buy BTC in June at $8,677 was clearly a great call but if someone is late to the party should they be buying now at $40k? It's a fair question that isn't answered by being to look again at the original recommendation that is now 7 months old.
  • MS
    Martin S.
    5 February 2021 @ 20:13
    The SPX Mar 18 3500 Put which was recommended is at 24.50 now from my TWS at IBKR and hence was not a winning position as reflected in the pdf. Can you clarify please?
    • NV
      Nicola V.
      6 February 2021 @ 16:51
      PDF is as of February 1...market has moved since publication.
  • JL
    J L.
    3 February 2021 @ 08:28
    I believe FTSE is missing the currency component of the trade, might as well track EWU as this seems misleading.
  • CK
    Constantinos K.
    2 February 2021 @ 12:28
    Thank you both. A couple of quick questions: 1. For option recommendations, could you please include, both entry and current prices for the underlying as well as the Greeks? It could help us understand some of the option price movements. For instance, GE Dec 21 calls are down -1.75 Ticks, even though 21 Dec Futures rose from 99.770 to 99.795 between entry and this update. I guess it's down because of time decay but are other factors affecting this move? 2. For options on ETFs, could you possibly provide equivalent trades for investors who cannot access US ETFs? I can easily find the equivalent for EWW or TLT and, even though their prices differ I can eyeball the charts for equivalent stops and targets. I cannot however buy call options on any of the TLT alternatives like IDTL (on Interactive Brokers). Are ZB March 21 call options the only/best alternative or is there something cheaper (why have you chosen TLT rather than ZB)? If ZB is the only alternative, then I guess the right target is around 181-182? Many thanks!
  • Dv
    Daniel v.
    2 February 2021 @ 10:30
    Thinking of selling my SP500 puts again. Bought them last week but I have not much believe in them. This market might go higher for a while. With the current short term puts that'll mean you'll soon lose the amount due to the high Theta. To keep losing money on bond calls and market puts makes no sense in this environment. Long BTC and ETH are the only investments I keep on.
  • AA
    ALLEN A.
    1 February 2021 @ 17:35
    What does 1/3 under the updated Buy FTSE 100 supposed to convey?
    • SB
      Samuel B.
      1 February 2021 @ 20:57
      Buy 1/3 initially at a certain price then buy 1/3 if it breaks out OR drops to a lower price.