Limbo Now: Heaven or Hell Next?

Published on: December 13th, 2019

Data dependency remains the order of the day, and volatility has decreased as the market waits with bated breath. I look at the key macro variables that will bring a resolution to the stalemate and examine the opportunities in various asset classes.


  • RK
    Robert K.
    13 December 2019 @ 18:17
    Hi, quick question: IVE contains AAPL at a close to 10% weighting. Just wondering: how is that a value stock? Should one hedge that out by shorting AAPL separately to have a more accurate picture? Thanks!
    • JB
      Julian B. | Contributor
      15 December 2019 @ 00:37
      Robert that's a great spot and yes I'd take out AAPL in an idea scenario
  • JQ
    JACK Q.
    14 December 2019 @ 15:26
    Hey Julian - TU vs TY steepener and ED steepener, which do you prefer and why?
    • JQ
      JACK Q.
      17 December 2019 @ 11:39
      Thanks Julian as always! Cameron interesting thought - i would think fed more likely to cut rates a few more times before going all out proper QE4 with the coupons
    • CS
      Cameron S.
      16 December 2019 @ 23:46
      Julian, for the curve steepener, do you worry that institutions will front-run the fed's operations and end up flattening the curve? Or is this a remote possibility that wouldn't occur if the Fed were to launch a proper QE4? Thank you!
    • JB
      Julian B. | Contributor
      15 December 2019 @ 00:36
      TU vs TY Jack
  • MG
    Miguel G.
    17 December 2019 @ 15:28
    Hi Julian, do you have any thoughts on the spending bill that is about to pass in the United States? Any idea if it's significant enough in size to re accelerate the US economy and kick this cycle further out again like in 2016?
    • JB
      Julian B. | Contributor
      17 December 2019 @ 20:23
      hi Miguel nope nothing like 2016. We will have to wait until after the elections for anything significant!
  • LM
    Lawrence M.
    18 December 2019 @ 03:37
    I'm a bit confused.. when Julian says" IVW/IVE:NEW: Buy Value ETF,sell Growth ETF at a ratio of 1.48, target 1.2, stop 1.59". Is the 1.48 just from his growth/value cart, or is this a ratio where I'm buying/selling more of one position than another (and or both)? Apologies for my lack of understanding, I'm learning as I go along.
    • GW
      Gary W.
      27 December 2019 @ 19:52
      I agree with Lawrence. I am a less-experienced and less-informed investor attempting to learn. I recognize others are more advanced and understand trade speak much better. But why can't Julian just say it like Geoff? I'm sure it wouldn't offend those that understand, and it would sure help us beginners learn. Thank you.
    • LM
      Lawrence M.
      19 December 2019 @ 16:23
      Thank you!
    • JB
      Julian B. | Contributor
      18 December 2019 @ 23:05
      Many thanks Geoff!
    • GP
      Geoff P.
      18 December 2019 @ 12:51
      Price of growth etf / price of value etf should be >= 1.48. If the ratio blows out past 1.59, get out. If the ratio compresses to 1.2, book the gain.