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EssentialDaily Briefing

Is All the Bad News Priced In?

Featuring Michael Gayed and Maggie Lake

August 15 at 8:00PM • 32 minutes

Essential

Daily Briefing

Is All the Bad News Priced In?

Or is this just another bear-market rally?

116

8

Featuring Michael Gayed and Maggie Lake

August 15 at 8:00PM • 32 minutes

The People’s Bank of China got the week started with surprise rate cuts on domestic growth concerns, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey on general business conditions for August registered its second-biggest slide since 2001, and the National Association of Home Buyers/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index declined for the eighth straight month. But all three major U.S. equity indexes were higher heading into the close, as Treasury yields continued to drift lower. Perhaps investors anticipate a Federal Reserve pivot. Perhaps they’re pricing in a selloff in crude oil. Has the larger trend shifted? “We have NEVER seen a time in history like this,” tweeted Michael Gayed in July, “where a significant drawdown in Treasuries matched a significant drawdown in stocks (which may not be over).” Gayed, the publisher of the Lead-Lag Report, joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about stocks, bonds, and the rising risk of demand destruction because of Fed rate hikes just as supply chains come back on line.

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Real Vision's Daily Briefing provides a macro context for the day's market action, Monday through Friday, live at 4:00 p.m. ET. Our hosts talk with traders, quants, investors, and analysts with skin in the game. These experts include Tony Greer, Katie Stockton, Jim Bianco, Jared Dillian, Thomas Thornton, and our own Raoul Pal. In just 30 minutes, you'll get the world's smartest analysis of global markets and the important macro trends driving them.

More Episodes

Real Vision's Daily Briefing provides a macro context for the day's market action, Monday through Friday, live at 4:00 p.m. ET. Our hosts talk with traders, quants, investors, and analysts with skin in the game. These experts include Tony Greer, Katie Stockton, Jim Bianco, Jared Dillian, Thomas Thornton, and our own Raoul Pal. In just 30 minutes, you'll get the world's smartest analysis of global markets and the important macro trends driving them.

More Episodes

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