Comments
Transcript
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MDI hope we can have Mish Schneider and Katie Stockton next time =)
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TSHey DDB- Slight disagreement on the gold is separate from equities. It is true except for when people need to cover margin calls they sold gold for the liquidity, March was painful, glad I bought in 2016.
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SSGreat interview. Thank you. I've always been a bit confused about technical analysis. The central problem is one of predictive modeling. Price is, to put it in machine learning terms, one of several features that can be used to develop a predictor. Price and price-derived measures may be highly informative, but adding additional features with orthogonal signal for the purpose of predicting security trajectories seems like an obvious approach to improve the performance of a predictive model. That is, take the well-trodden path in other fields modeling the stochastic behavior of complex systems by feature selection followed by an established method like convolutional neural networks or similar approach in either test/training sets or cross validation to establish robustness of the model. Clearly, many folks are doing this. I'd be surprised if adding additional features to a technical analysis model doesn't both decrease variance and bias in the prediction. In practice, does this appear to be the situation?
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API didn't see any analysis. ??
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IPthis interview was pretty good, but the analysis Ms. Stockton sells is really excellent , clear and concise without useless noise
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TGIf there's no mention of bitcoin which Raoul Pal has been raving on like a broken player, this is a 100% recommend.
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SSI am shocked Danielle said ''What is an RSI'' Seriously? Why on earth would you ask someone who has no knowledge on Technical Analysis to interview someone about Technical Analysis? Its kind of like asking Mr. Bean to interview Warren Buffett about Stocks.
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MMThanks Danielle and Katie, great interview! Agree with the commenter who recommends that those criticizing this interview as too basic upgrade to Pro or Blacklist where they will surely access advanced level information more compatible with their highly advanced level of expertise.
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AMKatie is absolute best in class amongst the TA's and doesn't hide behind "long term" views. Her timeframe is ultra commercial and would love to dig deeper into some of her more recent views and perhaps get a more nuanced perspective of her craft. I suspect there is a decent amount of art and judgement in her process.
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MDNice conversation ladies. It would be nice to hear more from you in more detail - you covered a lot of ground with respect to the macro but the TA was kept a bit light - yet that is not a reflection (I sense) of Katie's depth of knowledge or expertise. I think any analysis, and especially TA (seeing as there are so many bogus courses out there, or "experts" ) need real-life trades and future or live positions. TA is 100% correct in hindsight, and remarkably so as you would know. I think someone has bought up bots/algos and Medallion (for example) - that sets an interesting context for the philosophical discussion on the value or viability of the average schmo and TA. ? Thank you Danielle and Katie.
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JGExcellent, thank you! Why would anyone click on the "thumbs down"? Maybe because bitcoin was mentioned only a couple of times.
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AAVery basic. No value added.
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WBTwo greats in their respective fields... just need to remember/learn from Marisa Tomei in “My Cousin Vinny” when she said, “You blend.” Gotta watch that movie again.
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IADanielle DiMartino Booth ruined that interview. What a waste to have Katie Stockton on and have her go through the basics of TA rather than discuss more charts.
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TZNew all-time highs around the end of the year? Am gonna eat my hat if that happens!
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JBExcellent perspective from Danielle and Katie regarding the importance of technical analysis as it relates to current market conditions - They provided us some great tools as an introduction to assessing these markets. I've been operating my own business for many years - so not afraid to put it out there that I requested fundamental information regarding the technical analysis of these markets and would like to thank the Real Vision team for making it happen! Happy to keep learning!
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LFWow! Some women. Nice that you guys finally break up the sausage fest.
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GCGreat discussion ladies!
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jsTechnical entries, on a fundamental bias, have served me better than anything I ever learned on the CFA exams. Great refresher i/v on a Technician's mindset.
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DSMarkets today are crazy places, especially for anyone with a fundamental bent. Why not let technical analysis help if you really want to be a professional trader - FOMO? Ms. Stockton is smart and experienced in short to mid-term technical analysis but likes fundamental confirmations. In a market with little fundamental knowledge of future profits, what else is there than riding the chaotic waves of the current market – or finding inefficiencies like Mr. Green? With the amount of time one must put into technical analysis, I would have no life left to live. I enjoyed Ms. Stockton presentation very much and thank her for her time and perspectives. DLS
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MTDanielle DiMartino Booth is awesome. One of the great voices of reason out there today.
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KJAnother deluded chartist - before she's even made her morning coffee, RenTech's AI bot army has analysed billions of data points and dynamically adjusted their positions.. Coming soon on Real Vision: the amazing power of Runestones to time market moves 🤣
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JLTechnical analysis never proved it's performance when used alone
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MLTechnical Analysis is important in the short term, especially with current volatility and probably less important for long term investors. Yet, given the context, there is a lot to unpack with this interview. I had to watch it twice with a tradingview chart to understand each answer. I must also admit that when I listened to it at first, without concentrating, I felt that it was just market talk. So I recommend being more focused if you are new to TA. Thank you to both of you!
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MI$NDX is exactly where she's describing.. Stock RSI coming back above 20, momentum picking up again.
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LPSomewhat basic stuff, but still some good insights into TA based investment process.
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BSGreat interview. RV should bring in more technicians. So many styles out there, could definitely explore it some. Unfortunately the classic reaction of "fundamental" analysts is to look down on technicians. Reality is that someone's perception of fundamentals can be wrong (incorrect thesis), or not realized by the price yet (early). Technical analysis should be a tool on all investor / trader belts. It helps keep you in check and is a good way to systematically reduce risk / losses
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ABI want to know who are these weirdos who are clicking thumbs down...
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GVKatie should have discussed volatility and volume more often; price and time are not enough to make an investing decision. Vol is an important indicator for trading any of the asset classes she mentioned
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wjFor the beginners. Go watch No Nonsense Forex on youtube. He really teaches you what you need to know! A more informative video then this video! Then you can take that knowledge and use the macro data which you get here and invest. He teaches FX but theori can be used anywhere.
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DGWell there is your bullish piece for the week. Definitely driven by the feds got your back and FOMO.
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JBKatie should be applauded not only for her obvious TA ability and her ability to express it but for being able to redirect the interview back to the subject matter she was there to chat about. Thank you Katie.
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VGUnfortunately the moderator hasn't had enough experience on the topic to make it more interesting to people who understand what technical analysis is.
Chapters
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The Power of Price
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How Have Market Structure Changes Affected Your Indicators?
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Favorite Indicators for Buy/Sell Signals
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The VIX as a Sentiment Indicator
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Sector Rotation, Growth vs. Value, and Early Cycle vs. Late Cycle
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Outlook for the 10-Year Treasury
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Oil and Water: Valuations and Technicals Don't Mix
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A Technician's Take on the COVID Correction and Other Famous Sell-offs
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Using Technical Analysis in Other Markets
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Outlook for Gold, Oil, and the Dollar
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U.S. Equity Outlook