50:05

EssentialInvestment Ideas

Gary Shilling's Investment Ideas for a Hard Winter in the Real Economy

Featuring Gary Shilling

Dec 09, 2020 • 50 minutes

242

30

Essential

Investment Ideas

Gary Shilling's Investment Ideas for a Hard Winter in the Real Economy

With cases spiking and the recovery slowing, Gary Shilling discusses why he thinks we are in store for another economic downturn this winter.

Featuring Gary Shilling

Dec 09, 2020 • 50 minutes

With cases spiking and economic data surrounding the recovery slowing or outright rolling over in many cases, it appears as though a hard winter is in store for the global economy. Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., is well known for having forecasted these types of downturns in the past and, along with Real Vision's Ed Harrison, discusses why he thinks we are in store for another economic downturn this winter. Shilling highlights real economic data like slowing job gains, increased COVID-19 deaths, and the potential for renewed economic shutdowns, but he cautions that the strange correlation, where bad news equals more stimulus and thus is bullish for equities, can draw out irrationality longer than investors might expect — even if stimulus fails to fully replace economic losses in the long-term. Shilling and Harrison also discuss his investment ideas that arise from this forecast: cautiously short equities, short dollar, and long treasuries. Filmed on December 4, 2020. Key Learnings: The real economy and market are once again moving in the opposite direction. Shilling argues that this disconnect will close and that the long bond may be the best way to play to it. He also sees the stimulus feedback loop as putting more downward pressure on the dollar. Show More

In "Investment Ideas," Real Vision seeks out the market's best medium- and longer-term opportunities. The show is designed to provide actionable takeaways for investors with longer time horizons.

More Episodes

In "Investment Ideas," Real Vision seeks out the market's best medium- and longer-term opportunities. The show is designed to provide actionable takeaways for investors with longer time horizons.

More Episodes

COMMENTS

Sort By
  • Newest First
  • Oldest First
  • Top Rated
  • Most Discussed
  • Most Controversial

Access Essential Content

This content is reserved for the thousands of visionaries supporting the financial revolution. We'd love for you to join us. Interested?

See Our Plans

Already have an account? Log In