Comments
-
SvThank you, i did find it interesting and useful.
-
AHOK, I see from Seth L.'s comment you were referring to "Committment of Traders". Hey world, verbal rules are no different from rules of writing: never user an acronym/abbreviation without defining it first up front. In all other respects, a wonderful and useful presentation, Daniel. Hope you visit RV again before too long. ; )
-
AH"Cut data"??
-
SLTruly amazing presentation. Was wondering if you can dive a little deeper into the flaws of CoT data (without revealing too much of your process)?
-
SBThanks Daniel. Great video. I've been treading a lot of the same ground recently. Thank you for sharing your thoughts. I'd love to see you back on Real Vision!
-
DWThank you everyone for your kind words, glad you found it interesting.
-
RAContent was top .. but too long & too tedious.
-
HKGreat presentation, really enjoyed it - and as a long time subscriber to RV, I totally agree with Enrico's view below as well. One question if I may, Daniel: Considering the speculative / patient framework, how would passive flows be classified if you apply your framework to single stocks - as passive investing does not express views on intrinsic values of single stocks but only on the broad market, if at all. Hence, that would probably not be a patient money flow as a result I guess. Looking at the increasing % of shares held passive and trading activity due to passive for many pockets of the market (especially Mining stocks I guess), did you see changes/complexities there in your model due to the significant increase of passive and therefore maybe (simplification) decrease in the activity you can label 'patient'? Thanks a lot if you would have a high level answer for me. And again thanks for the insight into your process!
-
caLoved the presentation, but it's also available on Prerequisite's website. I don't really appreciate that it's available publicly b/c this is paid content. But defniitely found it interesting, thoughtful, and encouraging.
-
KOLoved this. By understanding the limits of our opponents we know where to focus our time and energy. A better understanding leads to better allocation of time and energy.
-
MMReally appreciate this presentation. I'm a complete amateur, but I feel I've landed on my feet here and find the openness of people like Daniel (obviously within the bounds of what he's comfortable to disclose) really inspirational and incredibly helpful. Also his (and others') presence here in the comments. Good onya cob!
-
JDAmazing presentation Daniel. Great balance of conceptual discussion and historical perspective with practical real life examples. Without revealing too much technical detail about your process can you provide some general detail on how you bifurcate the "Patient" and the "Speculative" crowds?
-
VKThanks Daniel, appreciate when managers provide their own process.
-
JMGreat job mate! Fascinating approach and completely logical and well delivered. Inspiring to hear that you are self educated and didn't come from an academic or financial background. As a person who didn't finish high school and having just tried to study markets over the last 8 years from literature and all other resources, while crawling through all the misinformation and BS, I can totally relate and admire what you have achieved actually managing money. I found this to be exponentially encouraging. Cheers!
-
MMA different type of question: can someone tell me with which program you can make this type of wonderful charts? I've always wondered about that and would really like to know. Thank you very much.
-
GSThanks a lot for having taken the time to answer my last question! I have another question concerning your speculative vs patient money framework. While I am of course very keen to know what hides behind your algo, I would also be interested in what kind of data you feed it. You mentioned transaction data, so I would assume that in addition to using prices, you also use some kind of volume metric? Not sure what data stream exists out there, but I could imagine that this metric is also very difficult to measure? Since securities are traded on different exchanges / dark pools / OTC, adding arbitrageurs and HFT to the mix creates or even forces market participants to add a lot of noise to their transactions and as a result makes it very difficult or even impossible to aggregate to a useful number?
-
HSHi Daniel, thanks for all. I found several books on John Boyd. What is the one to read in your opinion? Thanks!
-
SNBrilliant!
-
jhThis is tremendous conceptual work and of itself but Daniel has really outdone himself in sprinkling enough clues throughout his presentation that any reasonably intelligent and curious person should be able to figure out how to do this on their own. Bravo and thanks for teaching us to fish instead of just handing us the fish! After many, many years, I finally "get" technical analysis in a way that makes sense to me. Thanks again!
-
CYThat bang was my mind being blown. Wow - this was amazing.
-
GAThank you Daniel and RV team, I would like to see more of your analysis and overview of the market in the future. Interesting and very useful concept.
-
tWThank you for such a generous presentation to your RV audience...as an aside, signed for your email newsletter, are you on or would you come to twitter🙏🏻
-
ACFantastic, Daniel, thanks! With brains like this out there, I am very worried about my competitive advantage, especially with the rise of passive investing. Your interview on Adventures in Finance was also amazing.
-
GSThanks a lot Daniel for this amazing in depth presentation of your developed tools and the insight in your way of thinking, very inspiring! I know your stand on derivatives, but since many RV guests have highlighted the benefits of price informations in options, I was wondering what part those play in your more general framework to understand markets?
-
TSGenerous sharing of your learning and your framewaork. Thank You!
-
YAGreat work. Thank you
-
PWYes enjoyed it!
-
TSbrilliant, let me know if your looking for help with anything I'd love to work with you.
-
KPExcellent! Daniel is definitely one of RV's top tier contributors. And as a retired Air Force guy, I have to say Daniel applying the OODA loop to finance is awesome!
-
PNA lot to digest but agree 100% with his presentation. An absolute watch!
-
rrDaniel thank you. Really interesting approach and analysis, well articulated. Roc on RVTV
-
SJDaniel is one of my very favourite contributors. He's fantastic
-
RMWow - brilliant! This is what gives RVTV the absolute edge in the financial media arena - fantastic educational material unavailable anywhere else!!! Daniel Want has such an unconvential outlook and perspective that just blows me away by it's unusual threads of complexity yet underlying simplicity and evaluation. Thanks Daniel for sharing your insights and wisdom with us!