Profits, Politics and Conflicts – The next 10 years, Part II

Published on
April 12th, 2016
21 minutes

Profits, Politics and Conflicts – The next 10 years, Part II

Presentations ·
Featuring Siddharth Sarin

Published on: April 12th, 2016 • Duration: 21 minutes

In part 2 of his presentation on long-term cycles, Siddharth Sarin, Founder & Director of Perennitas Solutions Inc., Siddharth gives us a historical context of income distribution and the polarization of political ideologies, providing a rich context for the global progress achieved by humanity, and offers probabilistic frameworks for the outcomes of geopolitical unrest.


  • MS
    Matt S.
    4 March 2017 @ 11:11
    Bexit. Tremendous blow to the EU - achievement unlocked! :p
    • SS
      Sid S. | Contributor
      22 October 2019 @ 19:07
      3 yrs after the referendum, is it unlocked??
  • JF
    John F.
    1 November 2016 @ 07:03
    Tell me something not already in the general media.
  • SS
    Sid S. | Contributor
    17 May 2016 @ 03:47
    @Stephen, The color scheme related to events is relative. I believe Japanese militarization given current geopolitical equation vis a vis China and NKorea is a relative +ve and "normal" since minimal
  • SL
    Stephen L.
    15 May 2016 @ 14:24
    Great presentation! "Increased Japanese Militarisation" was green/positive impact. Personally, I would have thought it would be negative or at most medium. I wouldn't trust Abe with an Navy
  • SB
    Stewart B.
    26 April 2016 @ 06:45
    I really enjoyed this. I was surprised by the number of thumbs down. thanks for bringing this to me.
  • GR
    Guido R.
    25 April 2016 @ 14:48
    U claim Russia invades? US has been invading on spurious pretexts for the past 20 years. Is arming sundry rebels to overthrow Assad not belligerent on the part of the West? Rebels that are criminals
  • GR
    Guido R.
    25 April 2016 @ 14:46
    US & NATO keep overthrowing govs precipitating humanitarian crisis thus justifying UN interventions. IMF and World Bank have merely loaded EMs with debt and now are doing the same to West economy
  • GR
    Guido R.
    25 April 2016 @ 14:44
    SID, RUS is merely reacting to aggressive Western posturing angling for unipolar world. NATO & US overthrew Ukraine gov & allowed new admin to ethnic cleanse the country using overtly Nazi militias
  • JW
    Jim W.
    24 April 2016 @ 15:47
    It's disingenuous to talk about income inequality in the US without also adjusting for immigration, since the vast majority of US immigrants are poor. Also need to consider govt transfer payments.
  • AP
    Alfonso P.
    24 April 2016 @ 13:25
    good, concise, with excellent charts
  • NT
    Norman T.
    23 April 2016 @ 05:29
    nothing very new here
  • MA
    Melanie A.
    22 April 2016 @ 16:48
    Great presentation - so clear, concise and love all the supporting charts/data. Sid could be my new fav RV presenter. More please!
  • SS
    Sid S. | Contributor
    19 April 2016 @ 14:57
    I take it some disagree Russia is belligerent which surprises me , because short of a larger war Russia has done everything, posturing, invading , annexing, strat. support to Syria -not belligerent??
  • SS
    Sid S. | Contributor
    19 April 2016 @ 14:51
    the impact +ve or otherwise of Intl Inst. Like UN etc my view is +ve because u have to consider what if they weren’t there. power to convene, channel intl. intl. development is quite an achievement
  • GR
    Guido R.
    19 April 2016 @ 06:09
    IMF, World Bank and UN have a record of success... indeed... but success for whom exactly and at what cost to wider society?
  • GR
    Guido R.
    19 April 2016 @ 06:02
    .... Russia is belligerent...???
  • WM
    Will M.
    17 April 2016 @ 17:41
    Very good geopolitical/cyclic observations. There is NO question cycles exist but longer term cycles are rarely followed because "its different this time" is the pervasive popular human opinion.
  • FS
    Fred S.
    17 April 2016 @ 14:13
    "... things have not degenerated to the same level [as the period between 1929 and 1945]..." At least not yet! I do not share his view that we are better humans now than we were then. Same old us.
  • KE
    Kenan E.
    16 April 2016 @ 12:51
    Again very interesting talk although I do not share his view of the positive role of all those international institutions (IMF, World Bank, ...)
  • SS
    Sid S. | Contributor
    13 April 2016 @ 13:43
    Colin you can download the research paper from
  • CD
    Colin D.
    13 April 2016 @ 07:17
    Once again I enjoyed the approach and talk but many of the slides were way bigger than the screen view. Is it possible to get copies as they looked really interesting?
  • DC
    Dave C.
    12 April 2016 @ 21:48
    More on cycle analysis please - suggest Charles Nenner for general cycle theory and Lars Von Thienen for dynamic cycle analysis and related software tools.
  • BE
    Baha E.
    12 April 2016 @ 21:29
    "We are living in an era similar to between 1929-1945." That is very worrying, specially for young people like myself.
  • WE
    William E.
    12 April 2016 @ 17:56
    Bull, Bear / Expansion, Recession / Winter, Spring, Summer and Fall - Cycles are real...