Fed-Fueled Oil Opportunity

Published on
November 30th, 2018
15 minutes

Fed-Fueled Oil Opportunity

Trade Ideas ·
Featuring Larry McDonald

Published on: November 30th, 2018 • Duration: 15 minutes

Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report, lays out his long-term oil thesis and explains how to take advantage of recent price action. He reviews relevant geopolitical factors, highlights key fundamentals and lays out the trade in this interview with Brian Price. Filmed on November 28, 2018.


  • CM
    Carlos M.
    30 November 2018 @ 09:39
    the Saudi are not weaponizing by controlling production, they are doing it by pricing it in CNY ( Saudi became the #1 supplier of oil to China), how come no one talks about this? this whole thing is about US losing control on the commodities market, sanctions and tariffs are not helping US case for a petrodollar system. What !!??? Saudi's need price at 55-70?? since when? oil might go up specially if USD weakens but overall poor arguments IMO for an oil bounce.
    • IO
      Igor O.
      1 December 2018 @ 16:51
      Also Russia's pain trashhold is way below 50.
    • SR
      Steve R.
      1 December 2018 @ 22:38
      Luke Gromen has been all over the pricing of oil in CNY for a long time now. Its a big issue, but only Luke seems to have cottoned on to this fact.
    • MS
      Michel S.
      4 December 2018 @ 01:47
      Saudi need around $80 a barrel to balance the country budget
    • MS
      Michel S.
      4 December 2018 @ 01:50
      China by oil in CNY convertable in gold backing by the new china gold exchange. But that doesn't affect the balance of oil supply/demand, but mostly the USD currency
  • MS
    Michel S.
    4 December 2018 @ 01:43
    Super good and credible.. Spectical about the green guys getting into the board of oil cie, futur will tell I have no facts about that... I agree with the analyst of oil for 2019 2002, some peoples forget oil is the ultimate commodity. A slighly disruption from any producters country affect greatly the price.. $49 a barrel is way to cheap, think about that we will consume 102M barrel a day in 2019.. And yes frackers are in debt to the bones,, $50 cost not easy to bring casf flow. It might even be the last time we see these low price.
  • AP
    A P.
    1 December 2018 @ 13:16
    RV, maybe time for more sophisticated ways of expressing trades than short/long ETFs? Nancy Davis' Brazil trade, coupled with her general thesis, comes to mind as a great example.
    • MT
      Mike T.
      1 December 2018 @ 16:18
      Prior to the election result by which point short premium option traders were out and gone had a field day with EWZ. One of the best trading instruments of 2018. Had nothing to do with any particular
  • SH
    Steve H.
    30 November 2018 @ 21:10
    I'm sort of mystified as to how a 2-year projected hold qualifies as a TRADE idea. Be that as it may, anybody who can take a 2-year view on anything in these markets has to be congratulated for having a lot of vision and/or nerve.
  • JG
    Jory G.
    30 November 2018 @ 14:49
    Does not oil have an important role in the production of components used to make electric cars, solar panels and wind generators since many components are by products of oil? No one seems to be discussing that benefit of oil production Life would be much more complex and expensive with out plastic.