The Line in the Sand

Published on
January 3rd, 2019
18 minutes

The Line in the Sand

Trade Ideas ·
Featuring Bill Strazzullo

Published on: January 3rd, 2019 • Duration: 18 minutes

Bill Strazzullo, CFA, CMT, partner & chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading, sits down with Real Vision's Brian Price to wave the red flag on the stock market. He reviews his unique quantitative approach, highlights key levels to watch out for, and outlines one way to weather the coming storm. Filmed on December 13, 2018.


  • DF
    Dave F. | Contributor
    7 January 2019 @ 20:27
    Hi Bill.....had exposure/access to your work years ago and always found it interesting and insightful. Nice to see you here at RV digging deeper and providing color. Regards, Dave Floyd
    • BS
      Bill S. | Contributor
      12 January 2019 @ 07:21
      Thanks Dave, much appreciated.
  • AS
    Abu S.
    8 January 2019 @ 13:38
    Thanks....Great Interview. One small comment: This timely interview was filmed on 13 Dec 2018 but not published until 3 Jan 2019!! It might be more useful to subscribers, if published near filming date!! is it? Thanks again..looking for more great interviews.
  • OC
    Otto C.
    8 January 2019 @ 03:23
    Awesome insight!!! I really enjoyed Bill
  • SU
    Shakeel U.
    5 January 2019 @ 10:08
    Great! Please bring Bill Strazzullo back soon.
  • DS
    David S.
    4 January 2019 @ 07:14
    Venting Alert: (This is not about this video which I liked. )The constant Fed criticism is a smoke screen form many sides. Yes, if the Fed adds trillions of dollars of liquidity to the market constantly the market will go up, but at what cost – buy gold. The cause of the market meltdown is the trumped-up trade war and deflating the P/E ratios. There is not a recession in sight. All the companies discussing the problem are talking about the trade war and dislocations in markets. To solve a problem, you need to know the cause. Do you think Apple has any problem with the 3% on the ten year??? DLS
  • OT
    Omar T.
    3 January 2019 @ 14:13
    can you add the transcript for this video? thanks! great video. I would like to know what his opinion is on gold performance over the next 3 years if he is right.
    • SS
      Shanthi S.
      4 January 2019 @ 00:25
      Agreed. This would be good to know.
    • BS
      Bill S. | Contributor
      4 January 2019 @ 04:29
      Thanks for the question, As I said in my earlier response, Gold should start a major breakout from $1225.00/$1250.00 (could be up or down). We will wait for a buy extreme or sell extreme to form from this area and ride it either way. Bill Strazzullo 781-937-5656
  • TK
    Tanay K.
    3 January 2019 @ 17:25
    Bill, I tried to sign up for your service, I submitted the trial subscription form but it doesn't process. Please could you look into it; your ideas are great but you might be losing potential clients!
    • BS
      Bill S. | Contributor
      4 January 2019 @ 04:27
      Please call me: 781-937-5656 (ofc) Bill Strazzullo
  • JS
    Jon S.
    3 January 2019 @ 19:01
    One question Bill. How were the critical objectives of the indices set from the 2009 lows? You don't have to give away your secret sauce, just a quick comment. Thanks,
    • BS
      Bill S. | Contributor
      4 January 2019 @ 04:26
      Good question Jon, Take the low from March 2009 ( a very easily discernible fact), find the high volume area of the chart (longest line, mode, fair value area) and assume that the distance from the low to the high volume area is the half way point of the rally. Sounds simple but that is the simple math that drives most of the large commercial models. Bill Strazzullo 781-937-5656
  • JM
    John M.
    3 January 2019 @ 21:28
    Very nice. Good place to hide out? How about - gold, gold miners. It's working so far.
    • ZC
      Zack C.
      4 January 2019 @ 00:23
      John M. I like Silver. The Gold/Silver ratio is still above 80x; much higher than historical avg. Looks like we are starting to see a reversion, as silver has been playing catch up to gold the last couple of weeks.
    • BS
      Bill S. | Contributor
      4 January 2019 @ 04:21
      Gold is interesting. Expecting a major breakout (could be up or down) from the $1225.00/$1250.00 area. The rally from May 2004 has balanced (neutral) and getting ready for a big move. Thanks for the question, Bill Strazzullo
  • RA
    Robert A.
    4 January 2019 @ 01:09
    Another great TIMELY RV interview! Looks like a dichotomy viewpoint wise on the Long Treasury—Bill and others think the Long T has rolled over and Raoul (and now Julian) are pounding the table for buying them. Time will tell....perhaps Bill will be right in the long run and Raoul will be right in the short and intermediate term. Great to get well though out 180 degree opposing views on RV!
    • BS
      Bill S. | Contributor
      4 January 2019 @ 04:18
      We look at every market from a Long-term, Intermediate-term, and Short-term perspective. Our Intermediate-term view on long rates has been bullish as well (lower rates, higher prices) but in our opinion U.S. 10's and Bonds have both reached their objectives from the 1980's (lows in yield / highs in price). Thanks for the feedback, Bill Strazzullo
  • WY
    Weikun Y.
    4 January 2019 @ 01:24
    $AAPL is the nail in the coffin. Short the who fucking thing!
  • JS
    Jon S.
    3 January 2019 @ 18:55
    Simple and concise. Thanks Bill.