Adobe Shines in the Cloud

Featuring Danielle Shay

Danielle Shay, technical analyst and new trader specialist at Simpler Trading, is bullish on Adobe. She discusses the catalysts, key levels to watch, and how to make the trade. Filmed on May 1 in Austin, Texas.

Published on
3 May, 2018
Topic
Trading, Technical Analysis, Technology
Duration
17 minutes
Asset class
Equities
Rating
41

Comments

  • WB

    William B.

    8 5 2018 08:30

    5       0

    Super real time trade analysis! Give me more!,, I learned a ton from this.

  • RS

    Robert S.

    7 5 2018 14:56

    3       0

    I closed this today for 50% winner! Probably could have hung around for more, but the way things have been so volatile lately, I did a Steve Miller and "Take the Money and Run."

  • JJ

    Justin J.

    4 5 2018 13:03

    2       1

    Very cool watching a pro walk though a credit spread trade and explaining the trade real time!

    • DM

      Dan M.

      4 5 2018 23:23

      2       6

      Maybe pro as in promotional. This is not what you want to emulate if you want to be a successful trader!

  • CO

    Craig O.

    4 5 2018 02:57

    13       1

    For the "thumbs downers" here, please note that this piece is part of a series called Technical Trader with emphasis on technical analysis (TA). Although there are exceptions, TA proponents do not usually look too hard at fundamentals so it should come as no surprise that there weren't any deep dives on the business case for Adobe. Whether you agree with TA or prefer fundamental analysis there is a sizable population of traders that use it with varying degrees of success.

    I personally welcome the diversity of ideas, strategies, and presentations on Real Vision. I think Danielle did a fine job, if a bit fast, of explaining her process.

    Also, as to the seemingly unfavorable risk/reward on this trade: from what I've learned from the Option Alpha podcast and their free educational content, truly high probability setups do not need the r/r ratio to skew so heavily in favor of reward, because they have a higher win rate. It's above my pay grade, but positive expectancy is real math (just ask Ed Thorpe) and is a valid approach to trading.

    Thanks Real Vision for widening out the tent. I'm sure we'll all start to figure out which of these series hew more to our preferred styles of trading or investing. I for one appreciate the option to tune in or tune out of RV content, instead of having it filtered through the personal opinions/preferences of other viewers.

    • RS

      Robert S.

      4 5 2018 12:42

      3       0

      Spot on Craig O.! And kudos to RV for providing broad range of content. It is difficult to come up with actionable trade ideas everyday and there are many in this audience with different time horizons. I took this trade and with Danielle because her process made sense, is repeatable and the probability of success is high.

  • KF

    Ken F.

    4 5 2018 02:27

    2       0

    From a fundamental view 14X sales & +50X trailing PE is a bit much to be on my watch list. But Market has not cared about valuation in a long time.

    https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=adbe

  • TH

    Tyler H.

    4 5 2018 00:25

    3       11

    Disappointing to see this type of content, high-level and depth macro discussions are what make Real Vision great not '5 star set-ups'. This content may have a place for those learning about trading and technical analysis a place but that place should not be RealVision.

    If there are trade ideas to be pitched on RV, at least have the presenter be able to outline a detailed thesis about why a company or sector is an opportunity and why viewer might find an edge (like Mike Alkin's fantastic Uranium piece).

    • DM

      Dan M.

      4 5 2018 23:29

      1       0

      While I didn't like much about what was presented in this video (see comments below), this was a short term, little scalp trade strategy based on some technicals. There is no fundamental evaluation that plays any role for that type of trade.

    • DM

      Dan M.

      4 5 2018 23:36

      6       0

      Sorry reading your comment again, I strongly disagree that RV should not present content about trading based on technical analysis.

  • DM

    Dan M.

    3 5 2018 22:52

    6       6

    This is what is sold to amateurs. Lots of indicators, some proprietary requiring purchase, which mostly just hides the most important part of the chart: price action! Then putting on an ITM put credit spread which only makes money if the stock goes up. All for a reward to risk ratio of about .7 to 1 before including commission costs! Disappointed to see this promoted on RV!

  • PC

    Peter C.

    3 5 2018 21:37

    5       0

    Agree with previous comments. Not my type of trade either but well worth the time to go through, in order to see how a systematic trading approach is done. At the end of the day, it's the processes that dictates the success of trading and not a single trade idea.

  • JR

    Jake R.

    3 5 2018 18:34

    2       0

    Really appreciate the explanation of your process. Very interesting.

  • SL

    Stephen L.

    3 5 2018 17:43

    2       1

    Great to see the process, thank you. But after all the work, you're selling yourself short with 1:1.

  • SF

    Sam F.

    3 5 2018 16:35

    7       12

    This is something you would find on Youtube, not Realvision.

    • DS

      David S.

      3 5 2018 19:20

      10       0

      It is nice to have an stock analysis and option trade vetted by RealVisionTV rather than go through a lot of YouTube videos. Not my type of trading, but interesting to watch the process and see the real-time trade. DLS

    • DM

      Dan M.

      3 5 2018 22:54

      4       3

      If this was vetted, the vetting process failed!

  • SD

    Sebastien D.

    3 5 2018 13:24

    1       0

    Bit over my pay grade but very interesting to see a pro working and explaining her process. I'm kinda shocked that one is willing to loose 1 (or a bit more) to make 1 as this requires to be right over 50% of the time to break even if my math is correct.

    • EF

      Eric F.

      9 5 2018 01:37

      0       0

      I’m guessing they are looking at a higher hit rate then Seb!

  • JS

    Jens S.

    3 5 2018 12:33

    14       0

    Really thorough explanation of her method/process which is highly valuable to me. Also nice to see how she puts on the trade in real-time...thumbs up from here.