Real Vision Podcast Looking Forward at Interest Rates, the U.S. Dollar, Volatility, and the B117 Variant: DB-Jan15,2021

Episode Summary

Jan 15 2021 . 42 MIN
Share:

Looking Forward at Interest Rates, the U.S. Dollar, Volatility, and the B117 Variant: DB-Jan15,2021

Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison for a nuanced discussion of how the economic recovery will evolve over the next few months. Raoul and Ed interpret today’s dismal retail sales figures, which indicate a contraction of total retail activity for the third straight month. With the new B117 COVID-19 variant on the move, Raoul expects economic activity to continue to decline, ebbing away at the dominant reflationary trades that are short U.S. Treasurys as well as the U.S. dollar. Ed asks Raoul his thoughts on the recent storming of the U.S. Capitol, the approaching inauguration of President Elect Joe Biden, and Biden’s new $1.9 Trillion stimulus plan. Lastly, Raoul and Ed wax philosophical about “the death of macro”: what would happen if the volatility of interest rates and currencies – the bread and butter of macro investing – were extremely low over the next decade? In the intro, editor Jack Farley provides context on bank earnings and the recent short squeeze of GameStop Corp ($GME).

Show Notes


Subscribe

Host

Ash Bennington

Follow Us

We'll be tweeting new episodes, polls, questions, and show updates. Follow us and say hi!

@Realvision

Join the revolution

Choose your membership level below

Real Vision Essential

Essential insights for all investors

Our core membership, Real Vision ESSENTIAL, unlocks our most popular shows, introducing the key market themes we focus on and featuring hard-to-access guests like Kyle Bass, Jim Chanos, Jim Grant, Stan Druckenmiller and many more.

Become a member now and get analysis you won’t find anywhere else.

  • Daily interviews, investment ideas and presentations

  • The Real Vision Daily Briefing – after market close

  • Quarterly two-week long investment themes

  • Full, ad-free access to the archive

  • Binge anytime, anywhere on mobile and OTT apps, and offline with downloadable video, audio and transcripts

Become a member today

Plans starting at just $239/year. Cancel anytime.

Select your plan